US Study Finds AI Is Not Killing Jobs, Contradicting Tech Executive Claims
New research from Yale & Brookings finds generative AI like ChatGPT is not causing an economy-wide job apocalypse in the US. See the data contradicting CEO warnings.
New Study about AI labor market influence
Despite widespread concern that artificial intelligence is upending labor markets, research from economists at Yale University and the Brookings Institution indicates that generative AI has not had a dramatic effect on US employment since ChatGPT’s launch in November 2022.
The research, based on official labor market data and usage figures, finds little evidence that the tools are actively putting people out of work across the entire economy.
"We are not in an economy-wide jobs apocalypse right now, it’s mostly stable," noted Molly Kinder, a senior fellow at Brookings.
Continuity Over Change: The Data
ℹ Key Finding
The analysis shows that AI has "not defied gravity" so far, indicating that companies are still in the "very early days of figuring out how to redesign themselves with this technology."
- Occupational Mix: ChatGPT is changing the mix for tech workers but not shifting the composition of jobs throughout the entire US economy at a swifter pace than previous tech waves.
- Graduate Employment: Difficulties for recent college graduates finding work appear unrelated to technological change, as their job placement is similar to older graduates.
- Contradictory Reports: A separate report found 39% of surveyed business leaders cut entry-level roles due to AI adoption.
CEO Warnings vs. Economic Reality
The study directly contradicts assertions from CEOs like Anthropic’s Dario Amodei and OpenAI’s Sam Altman, who warned of mass elimination, especially for entry-level positions.
Executive Predictions vs. Current Impact
| Source | Prediction/Finding | Job Impact Level |
|---|---|---|
| Tech CEOs (Oct 2025) | Mass elimination, cutting entry-level roles. | High to Extreme |
| Yale/Brookings Study | No economy-wide jobs apocalypse; continuity reigns. | Low/Transitory |
| Goldman Sachs Research | Potential displacement of 6-7% of the US workforce. | Moderate (Transitory) |
🎓 Economist View
Economist Daron Acemoglu suggests the hype contributes to managerial pressure to "do something with AI," though few companies are yet engaging in "super creative" applications across the board.
The Road Ahead
While immediate job loss fears appear overblown, economists agree monitoring the situation remains crucial. The adoption rate and the eventual redesign of business processes will determine long-term impact.
- Open Question: Will AI eventually revolutionize work, or will adoption remain slow?
- Focus on Redesign: Current focus is on immediate productivity gains, not wholesale organizational restructuring.
For now, the labor market continues a story of relative stability, keeping the most dramatic layoff scenarios at bay as companies figure out how to fully integrate the new technology.
Source: Based on reporting originally published in the Financial Times (October 1, 2025). Please use official sharing tools for redistribution.
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